Team path
NDSNorth Dakota State
Conference record 3-1, overall 6-1. Currently 3 of 10 in the Mountain West order (conference win percentage).
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Chances
Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons, using the model selected in the model control. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM MT | New MexicoAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 1:30 PM MT | UTEPHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 9:59 PM MT | Hawai'iAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 2:00 PM MT | Northern IllinoisHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Fri Nov 27, 1:30 PM MT | San José StateAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
NM
UTEP
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NI
SJSHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: some games show a large gap between a model line and its market line, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 | NevadaHome | Final · W 31-17 |
| Sat Oct 10 | UNLVAway | Final · L 7-13 |
| Sat Oct 3 | WyomingHome | Final · W 28-0 |
| Sat Sep 19 | Sacramento StateAway | Final · W 31-10 |
| Sat Sep 12 | Air ForceAway | Final · W 38-32 |
| Sat Sep 5 | Fordham RamsHome | Final · W 38-0 |
| Sat Aug 29 | Jacksonville StateHome | Final · W 33-7 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.
Paths to the title game
Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.
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| Final conference wins | Share of seasonsmodel | Reach title gamemodel |
|---|---|---|
| Locked | ||