Team path
HHawai'i
Conference record 0-4, overall 1-6. Currently 8 of 10 in the Mountain West order (conference win percentage).
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Chances
Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons, using the model selected in the model control. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | Northern IllinoisAway, conference game | In progress (Hawai'i 35, Northern Illinois 14 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | UTEPAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 9:59 PM MT | North Dakota StateHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | NevadaAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sun Nov 29, time TBA | Sacramento StateHome | Locked | Locked | Locked |
NI
UTEP
NDS
N
SSHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: some games show a large gap between a model line and its market line, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 | New MexicoHome | Final · L 10-21 |
| Sat Oct 10 | Arizona StateAway | Final · L 12-30 |
| Sat Oct 3 | San José StateHome | Final · L 16-20 |
| Sat Sep 26 | WyomingAway | Final · L 10-27 |
| Sat Sep 12 | New Mexico StateHome | Final · W 29-19 |
| Sat Sep 5 | UNLVHome | Final · L 6-21 |
| Sat Aug 29 | StanfordAway | Final · L 27-37 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.
Paths to the title game
Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.
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| Final conference wins | Share of seasonsmodel | Reach title gamemodel |
|---|---|---|
| Locked | ||