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American

Team path

Memphis

Conference record 3-1, overall 6-2. Currently 4 of 14 in the American order (conference win percentage).

Predictions are for information only, not betting advice.Full disclaimerHow we make the numbers

The prediction pages and tools unlock after you accept the disclaimer. Chances, win probabilities and lines appear once you accept.

Chances

–Reach the title game (model)
–Win the conference (model)
–Make the 12 (model)
–First-round bye (model)

Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons, using the model selected in the model control. Not a guarantee.

Remaining games

Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN

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Date (MT)GameWin probabilitymodelModel lineKickTip analysisMarket consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT
Sat Oct 31, 6:00 PM MTArmyHome, conference gameLockedLockedLocked
Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM MTSouth FloridaAway, conference gameLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 10:00 AM MTNavyAway, conference gameLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, time TBATempleHome, conference gameLockedLockedLocked

How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: some games show a large gap between a model line and its market line, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.

Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.

Results

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Date (MT)OpponentResult
Thu Oct 22East CarolinaHomeFinal · W 41-34
Fri Oct 16TulaneAwayFinal · L 17-31
Sat Oct 10UABHomeFinal · W 38-13
Sat Oct 3CharlotteAwayFinal · W 59-8
Sat Sep 19UT Martin SkyhawksHomeFinal · W 45-21
Sat Sep 12Boise StateAwayFinal · L 20-38
Sat Sep 5Arkansas StateHomeFinal · W 42-24
Sat Aug 29UNLVAwayFinal · W 27-21

Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.

Paths to the title game

Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.

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Final conference winsShare of seasonsmodelReach title gamemodel
Locked

More in the American

Sources and last updated (MT)

Schedules and results: ESPN public data. Chances, win probabilities and model line: KickTip model (estimates), 10,000 simulated seasons. Market consensus: median of listed point spreads, rounded to 0.5, via The Odds API, as of Oct 24, 2026, 10:33 AM MT; only games with a posted line show one.

Game results last pulled: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT. Model numbers recalculated from them: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 3:44 PM MT. Rules: official conference tiebreaker policies (links on each conference page). KickTip is not a betting site.