KickTip Media
FootballBasketballSOON

Conference

American race

14 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.

All 11 conferences

Swipe the conference list sideways →

Predictions are for information only, not betting advice.Full disclaimerHow we make the numbers

The prediction pages and tools unlock after you accept the disclaimer. Chances, win probabilities and lines appear once you accept.

Standings

Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN

Swipe the table sideways →

#TeamConfOverallReach title gamemodelWin conferencemodelMake the 12model
1UTSA3-06-1LockedLockedLocked
2North Texas2-04-2LockedLockedLocked
3Army4-15-2LockedLockedLocked
4Memphis3-16-2LockedLockedLocked
5Florida Atlantic2-15-2LockedLockedLocked
6UAB2-14-3LockedLockedLocked
7Tulane1-13-3LockedLockedLocked
8South Florida1-25-2LockedLockedLocked
9East Carolina1-23-4LockedLockedLocked
10Temple1-22-5LockedLockedLocked
11Charlotte1-21-6LockedLockedLocked
12Tulsa1-34-4LockedLockedLocked
13Navy1-32-4LockedLockedLocked
14Rice0-41-7LockedLockedLocked

Listed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).

Remaining conference games

Swipe the table sideways →

Date (MT)GameWin probabilitymodelModel lineKickTip analysisMarket consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT
Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MTNorth TexasatNavyIn progress (North Texas 28, Navy 17 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started.
Sat Oct 24, 6:00 PM MTUTSAatTulaneLockedLockedLocked
Thu Oct 29, 5:30 PM MTFlorida AtlanticatNorth TexasLockedLockedLocked
Fri Oct 30, 5:00 PM MTTulaneatCharlotteLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM MTUABatSouth FloridaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 1:00 PM MTTempleatEast CarolinaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 6:00 PM MTArmyatMemphisLockedLockedLocked
Thu Nov 5, 6:00 PM MTUTSAatFlorida AtlanticLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 6, 5:30 PM MTSouth FloridaatEast CarolinaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBACharlotteatUABLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBARiceatNorth TexasLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBATulsaatTulaneLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, 1:30 PM MTTempleatNavyLockedLockedLocked
Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM MTMemphisatSouth FloridaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAEast CarolinaatCharlotteLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAFlorida AtlanticatTulsaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBANorth TexasatUTSALockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBATulaneatRiceLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAUABatTempleLockedLockedLocked
Thu Nov 19, 5:30 PM MTRiceatTempleLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBACharlotteatTulsaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBASouth FloridaatFlorida AtlanticLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBANorth TexasatTulaneLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBAUTSAatUABLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 10:00 AM MTEast CarolinaatArmyLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 10:00 AM MTMemphisatNavyLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, time TBAFlorida AtlanticatEast CarolinaLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, time TBATempleatMemphisLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, time TBATulaneatSouth FloridaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBATulsaatUTSALockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAArmyatRiceLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBANavyatCharlotteLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAUABatNorth TexasLockedLockedLocked
Sat Dec 12, 1:00 PM MTNavyvsArmyLockedLockedLocked

How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 20.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.

Recent results

Swipe the table sideways →

Date (MT)GameResult
Sat Oct 24Rice at Florida AtlanticFinal · Florida Atlantic 51, Rice 49
Fri Oct 23Army at TulsaFinal · Army 38, Tulsa 35
Thu Oct 22East Carolina at MemphisFinal · Memphis 41, East Carolina 34
Sat Oct 17Navy at UTSAFinal · UTSA 38, Navy 34
Sat Oct 17Tulsa at RiceFinal · Tulsa 38, Rice 17
Sat Oct 17Charlotte at TempleFinal · Charlotte 38, Temple 31
Sat Oct 17Florida Atlantic at ArmyFinal · Army 56, Florida Atlantic 24
Fri Oct 16Memphis at TulaneFinal · Tulane 31, Memphis 17
Thu Oct 15East Carolina at UABFinal · UAB 30, East Carolina 17
Sat Oct 10UAB at MemphisFinal · Memphis 38, UAB 13
Sat Oct 10Charlotte at North TexasFinal · North Texas 50, Charlotte 10
Sat Oct 10Tulsa at NavyFinal · Navy 34, Tulsa 26
Sat Oct 10Rice at East CarolinaFinal · East Carolina 28, Rice 12
Sat Oct 10Tulane at ArmyFinal · Army 20, Tulane 17
Thu Oct 8South Florida at UTSAFinal · UTSA 31, South Florida 24
Sat Oct 3Temple at South FloridaFinal · Temple 17, South Florida 13
Sat Oct 3UTSA at RiceFinal · UTSA 16, Rice 14
Sat Oct 3Memphis at CharlotteFinal · Memphis 59, Charlotte 8
Thu Oct 1North Texas at TulsaFinal · North Texas 45, Tulsa 44
Fri Sep 25Navy at UABFinal · UAB 24, Navy 20

Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT. Showing the latest 20 of 23; every result is on the team pages.

Title game

Sat, Dec 5, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (6:00 PM MT), ABC, at the higher seed

Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.

Who controls their destiny

  • Locked

Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).

How American ties are broken

When two teams finish tied in conference play, American applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:

  1. Head-to-head result between the two teams
  2. Ranking-based step (CFP rank, computer composite or similar): KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
  3. Record against all common conference opponents
  4. Overall win percentage
  5. Random draw (coin toss)

Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.

Known limitations

  • The policy's CFP-ranking step and its computer composite (SP+, SportSource, ESPN SOR, KPI) are replaced by KickTip's rating.
  • The Army-Navy game (Dec. 12) is outside the standings because it is played after the title game.

Rules sources

Sources and last updated (MT)

Schedules and results: ESPN public data. Chances, win probabilities and model line: KickTip model, 10,000 simulated seasons. Market consensus: median of listed point spreads, rounded to 0.5, via The Odds API, as of Oct 24, 2026, 10:33 AM MT; only games with a posted line show one.

Model last updated: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT. Rules: official conference tiebreaker policies (links on each conference page). KickTip is not a betting site.