Team path
NNavy
Conference record 1-3, overall 2-4. Currently 13 of 14 in the American order (conference win percentage).
The prediction pages and tools unlock after you accept the disclaimer. Chances, win probabilities and lines appear once you accept.
Chances
Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons, using the model selected in the model control. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | North TexasHome, conference game | In progress (North Texas 28, Navy 17 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM MT | Notre DameNeutral site | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 1:30 PM MT | TempleHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 10:00 AM MT | MemphisHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, time TBA | CharlotteAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Dec 12, 1:00 PM MT | ArmyNeutral site, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
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AHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: some games show a large gap between a model line and its market line, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 | UTSAAway | Final · L 34-38 |
| Sat Oct 10 | TulsaHome | Final · W 34-26 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Air ForceAway | Final · L 9-14 |
| Fri Sep 25 | UABAway | Final · L 20-24 |
| Sat Sep 12 | Florida AtlanticAway | Final · L 30-38 |
| Sat Sep 5 | Towson TigersHome | Final · W 42-15 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.
Paths to the title game
Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.
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| Final conference wins | Share of seasonsmodel | Reach title gamemodel |
|---|---|---|
| Locked | ||