Conference
P12Pac-12 race
8 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.
All 11 conferences
Swipe the conference list sideways →
The prediction pages and tools unlock after you accept the disclaimer. Chances, win probabilities and lines appear once you accept.
Standings
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Reach title gamemodel | Win conferencemodel | Make the 12model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon State | 3-0 | 5-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 2 | Boise State | 2-0 | 5-1 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 3 | San Diego State | 2-1 | 3-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 4 | Texas State | 1-1 | 3-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 5 | Utah State | 1-1 | 2-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 6 | Fresno State | 1-2 | 4-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 7 | Colorado State | 0-2 | 2-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 8 | Washington State | 0-3 | 1-6 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
OS
BS
SDS
TS
US
FS
CS
WSListed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).
Remaining conference games
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 4:00 PM MT | Boise StateatWashington State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 24, 4:30 PM MT | San Diego StateatColorado State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 24, 5:30 PM MT | Utah StateatTexas State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 1:30 PM MT | Colorado StateatUtah State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 5:00 PM MT | Washington StateatSan Diego State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 8:00 PM MT | Texas StateatBoise State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 9:00 PM MT | Oregon StateatFresno State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 4:00 PM MT | Boise StateatColorado State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 7:30 PM MT | Fresno StateatUtah State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 8:30 PM MT | Texas StateatOregon State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 2:00 PM MT | Fresno StateatTexas State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 4:00 PM MT | Oregon StateatBoise State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 7:30 PM MT | Utah StateatSan Diego State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 8:30 PM MT | Colorado StateatWashington State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 4:00 PM MT | Washington StateatTexas State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 5:30 PM MT | Colorado StateatFresno State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 7:30 PM MT | San Diego StateatBoise State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 8:30 PM MT | Utah StateatOregon State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 20.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Recent results
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date (MT) | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 | Fresno State at San Diego State | Final · San Diego State 26, Fresno State 23 |
| Sat Oct 17 | Washington State at Oregon State | Final · Oregon State 48, Washington State 30 |
| Thu Oct 15 | Colorado State at Texas State | Final · Texas State 66, Colorado State 27 |
| Sat Oct 10 | Boise State at Fresno State | Final · Boise State 38, Fresno State 31 |
| Sat Oct 10 | San Diego State at Oregon State | Final · Oregon State 66, San Diego State 14 |
| Fri Oct 9 | Washington State at Utah State | Final · Utah State 17, Washington State 16 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Texas State at San Diego State | Final · San Diego State 31, Texas State 29 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Fresno State at Washington State | Final · Fresno State 26, Washington State 6 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Utah State at Boise State | Final · Boise State 37, Utah State 18 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Oregon State at Colorado State | Final · Oregon State 56, Colorado State 26 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.
Title game
Fri, Dec 4, 2026, 5:00 PM PT (6:00 PM MT), CBS, at the higher seed
Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.
Who controls their destiny
- Locked
Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).
How Pac-12 ties are broken
When two teams finish tied in conference play, Pac-12 applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:
- Head-to-head result between the two teams
- Record against the highest-placed common opponent in the standings, then the next, and so on
- Record against all common conference opponents
- Ranking-based step (CFP rank, computer composite or similar): KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
- Random draw (coin toss)
Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.
Known limitations
- Week 13 home-and-home flex games do not count in the standings, so conference games after week 12 are excluded.
- The policy's two ranking steps (highest CFP ranking the Tuesday before week 13, then SportSource) are replaced by one step using KickTip's rating.
Rules sources
- pac-12.com official source (official tiebreakers, title game time and TV)