Conference
MAC race
13 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.
All 11 conferences
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The prediction pages and tools unlock after you accept the disclaimer. Chances, win probabilities and lines appear once you accept.
Standings
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Reach title gamemodel | Win conferencemodel | Make the 12model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio | 3-0 | 5-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 2 | Toledo | 3-1 | 6-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 3 | Miami (OH) | 3-1 | 5-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 4 | Western Michigan | 3-1 | 5-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 5 | Eastern Michigan | 3-1 | 4-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 6 | Buffalo | 2-1 | 4-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 7 | Bowling Green | 2-1 | 2-5 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 8 | Kent State | 2-2 | 3-5 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 9 | Ball State | 1-2 | 2-5 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 10 | Massachusetts | 1-3 | 4-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 11 | Central Michigan | 1-3 | 3-5 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 12 | Sacramento State | 0-4 | 1-6 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 13 | Akron | 0-4 | 1-7 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
Listed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).
Remaining conference games
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | Sacramento StateatBall State | In progress (Sacramento State 10, Ball State 20 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | Bowling GreenatBuffalo | In progress (Bowling Green 14, Buffalo 14 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Sat Oct 24, 2:00 PM MT | Eastern MichiganatOhio | In progress (Eastern Michigan 10, Ohio 7 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Fri Oct 30, 8:30 PM MT | Kent StateatSacramento State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM MT | Bowling GreenatWestern Michigan | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 3, 5:00 PM MT | OhioatAkron | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 3, 5:00 PM MT | BuffaloatMiami (OH) | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 4, time TBA | Ball StateatMassachusetts | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 4, time TBA | Central MichiganvsEastern Michigan | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 4, time TBA | ToledoatSacramento State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM MT | Western MichiganatAkron | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM MT | Kent StateatBowling Green | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM MT | OhioatMiami (OH) | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 11, time TBA | BuffaloatBall State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 11, time TBA | Sacramento StateatCentral Michigan | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 11, time TBA | MassachusettsatToledo | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 17, 5:00 PM MT | Ball StateatOhio | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 17, 5:00 PM MT | Eastern MichiganatWestern Michigan | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 17, 5:00 PM MT | Miami (OH)atKent State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 18, time TBA | AkronatMassachusetts | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 18, time TBA | Central MichiganatBuffalo | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Fri Nov 20, 5:30 PM MT | Bowling GreenatToledo | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 24, time TBA | Miami (OH)atWestern Michigan | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Tue Nov 24, 5:00 PM MT | Kent StateatEastern Michigan | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MT | BuffaloatAkron | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MT | ToledoatOhio | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, 10:00 AM MT | Central MichiganatBall State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, 10:00 AM MT | MassachusettsatBowling Green | Locked | Locked | Locked |
How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: some games show a large gap between a model line and its market line, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Recent results
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Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT. Showing the latest 20 of 24; every result is on the team pages.
Title game
Sat, Dec 5, 2026, noon ET (10:00 AM MT), ESPN, Ford Field, Detroit
Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.
Who controls their destiny
- Locked
Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).
How MAC ties are broken
When two teams finish tied in conference play, MAC applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:
- Head-to-head result between the two teams
- Record against all common conference opponents
- Ranking-based step (CFP rank, computer composite or similar): KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
- Record against the highest-placed common opponent in the standings, then the next, and so on
- Combined conference win percentage of each team's conference opponents
- Random draw (coin toss)
Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.
Known limitations
- The Team Rating Score step, which relies on other public rating systems, is replaced by KickTip's rating.
- KickTip uses the Nov. 2025 official text because the MAC has published no 2026 revision.
Rules sources
- getsomemaction.com official source (official MAC tiebreaker, Nov. 12, 2025; no 2026 revision found)
- getsomemaction.com official source (title game time and TV)
