Team path
BBuffalo
Conference record 2-1, overall 4-3. Currently 6 of 13 in the MAC order (conference win percentage).
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Chances
Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons, using the model selected in the model control. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | Bowling GreenHome, conference game | In progress (Bowling Green 14, Buffalo 14 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Tue Nov 3, 5:00 PM MT | Miami (OH)Away, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 11, time TBA | Ball StateAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Wed Nov 18, time TBA | Central MichiganHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MT | AkronAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
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AHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: some games show a large gap between a model line and its market line, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 | MassachusettsHome | Final · W 25-18 |
| Sat Oct 10 | ToledoAway | Final · W 23-8 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Western MichiganHome | Final · L 17-20 |
| Sat Sep 26 | Robert Morris ColonialsHome | Final · W 31-28 |
| Sat Sep 19 | Penn StateAway | Final · L 13-55 |
| Sat Sep 12 | Florida InternationalAway | Final · L 20-33 |
| Thu Sep 3 | UAlbany Great DanesHome | Final · W 21-17 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.
Paths to the title game
Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.
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| Final conference wins | Share of seasonsmodel | Reach title gamemodel |
|---|---|---|
| Locked | ||