Team path
PSPenn State
Conference record 0-4, overall 3-4. Currently 16 of 18 in the Big Ten order (conference win percentage).
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Chances
Model output from 10,000 simulated seasons. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31, time TBA | PurdueHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | WashingtonAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | MinnesotaHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | RutgersHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, time TBA | MarylandAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
P
W
M
R
MHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 20.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 | MichiganAway | Final · L 18-21 |
| Sat Oct 10 | USCHome | Final · L 23-31 |
| Fri Oct 2 | NorthwesternAway | Final · L 13-34 |
| Sat Sep 26 | WisconsinHome | Final · L 20-24 |
| Sat Sep 19 | BuffaloHome | Final · W 55-13 |
| Sat Sep 12 | TempleAway | Final · W 27-9 |
| Sat Sep 5 | MarshallHome | Final · W 45-0 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.
Paths to the title game
Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.
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| Final conference wins | Share of seasonsmodel | Reach title gamemodel |
|---|---|---|
| Locked | ||