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MAC

Team path

Toledo

Conference record 3-1, overall 6-2. Currently 2 of 13 in the MAC order (conference win percentage).

Predictions are for information only, not betting advice.Full disclaimerHow we make the numbers

The prediction pages and tools unlock after you accept the disclaimer. Chances, win probabilities and lines appear once you accept.

Chances

–Reach the title game (model)
–Win the conference (model)
–Make the 12 (model)
–First-round bye (model)

Model output from 10,000 simulated seasons. Not a guarantee.

Remaining games

Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN

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Date (MT)GameWin probabilitymodelModel lineKickTip analysisMarket consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT
Wed Nov 4, time TBASacramento StateAway, conference gameLockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 11, time TBAMassachusettsHome, conference gameLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 20, 5:30 PM MTBowling GreenHome, conference gameLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MTOhioAway, conference gameLockedLockedLocked

How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 20.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.

Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.

Results

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Date (MT)OpponentResult
Sat Oct 24Western MichiganHomeFinal · W 45-38
Sat Oct 17Eastern MichiganAwayFinal · W 34-14
Sat Oct 10BuffaloHomeFinal · L 8-23
Sat Oct 3Ball StateAwayFinal · W 39-24
Sat Sep 26San Diego StateHomeFinal · W 41-16
Sat Sep 19TempleHomeFinal · W 49-48
Sat Sep 12Central Connecticut Blue DevilsHomeFinal · W 63-10
Fri Sep 4Michigan StateAwayFinal · L 20-30

Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT.

Paths to the title game

Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.

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Final conference winsShare of seasonsmodelReach title gamemodel
Locked

More in the MAC

Sources and last updated (MT)

Schedules and results: ESPN public data. Chances, win probabilities and model line: KickTip model, 10,000 simulated seasons. Market consensus: median of listed point spreads, rounded to 0.5, via The Odds API, as of Oct 24, 2026, 10:33 AM MT; only games with a posted line show one.

Model last updated: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT. Rules: official conference tiebreaker policies (links on each conference page). KickTip is not a betting site.