Conference
SEC race
16 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.
All 11 conferences
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Standings
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Reach title gamemodel | Win conferencemodel | Make the 12model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | 4-1 | 6-1 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 2 | Kentucky | 4-1 | 6-1 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 3 | Tennessee | 3-1 | 6-1 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 4 | Ole Miss | 3-1 | 5-1 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 5 | LSU | 3-2 | 6-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 6 | Alabama | 3-2 | 5-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 7 | Florida | 3-2 | 5-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 8 | Missouri | 2-2 | 5-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 9 | Mississippi State | 2-2 | 4-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 10 | Auburn | 2-3 | 4-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 11 | Texas | 1-2 | 4-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 12 | Oklahoma | 1-2 | 3-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 13 | Texas A&M | 1-3 | 4-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 14 | South Carolina | 1-3 | 3-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 15 | Arkansas | 1-3 | 3-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 16 | Vanderbilt | 0-4 | 3-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
Listed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).
Remaining conference games
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 24, 10:33 AM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | TennesseeatSouth Carolina | In progress (Tennessee 21, South Carolina 17 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | Texas A&MatAlabama | In progress (Texas A&M 17, Alabama 17 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MT | OklahomaatMississippi State | In progress (Oklahoma 10, Mississippi State 0 at last check). No pre-game numbers are shown once a game has started. | ||
| Sat Oct 24, 5:30 PM MT | Ole MissatTexas | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 24, 5:30 PM MT | VanderbiltatKentucky | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 10:45 AM MT | AuburnatOle Miss | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 1:30 PM MT | FloridavsGeorgia | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 2:15 PM MT | South CarolinaatOklahoma | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 5:30 PM MT | Mississippi StateatTexas | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 5:45 PM MT | MissouriatArkansas | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | GeorgiaatOle Miss | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | KentuckyatTennessee | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | AlabamaatLSU | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | TexasatMissouri | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | OklahomaatFlorida | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | ArkansasatAuburn | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | VanderbiltatMississippi State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, time TBA | Texas A&MatSouth Carolina | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | MissouriatGeorgia | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | Ole MissatOklahoma | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | TennesseeatTexas A&M | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | FloridaatKentucky | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | AlabamaatVanderbilt | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | TexasatLSU | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | South CarolinaatArkansas | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, time TBA | AuburnatMississippi State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | GeorgiaatSouth Carolina | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | LSUatTennessee | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | KentuckyatMissouri | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | ArkansasatTexas | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | VanderbiltatFlorida | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, time TBA | Texas A&MatOklahoma | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MT | Mississippi StateatOle Miss | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Fri Nov 27, 5:30 PM MT | TexasatTexas A&M | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, time TBA | TennesseeatVanderbilt | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, time TBA | AuburnatAlabama | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, time TBA | LSUatArkansas | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, time TBA | OklahomaatMissouri | Locked | Locked | Locked |
How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 20.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Recent results
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Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 3:18 PM MT. Showing the latest 20 of 34; every result is on the team pages.
Title game
Sat, Dec 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET (2:00 PM MT), ABC, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.
Who controls their destiny
- Locked
Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).
How SEC ties are broken
When two teams finish tied in conference play, SEC applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:
- Head-to-head result between the two teams
- Record against all common conference opponents
- Record against the highest-placed common opponent in the standings, then the next, and so on
- Combined conference win percentage of each team's conference opponents
- Scoring-margin step: KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
- Random draw (coin toss)
Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.
Known limitations
- The capped scoring-margin step (SportSource) is replaced by KickTip's rating, because scores are not simulated.
- When several common opponents are tied in the standings, KickTip treats equal-record opponents as one group, a simplification of the policy's sub-rule.
Rules sources
- secsports.com official source (official SEC football tiebreakers)
- secsports.com official source (title game date and site)
- ncaa.com published report (kickoff and TV)
